I’ll be honest.I’m worried.
说实话，我很担心。
I’ve gone deep into the AGI and post-labor-work rabbit hole.
我已经深入到AGI和后劳力工作的深度奇妙之旅。
(“Down the rabbit hole”是一个成语，指进入一个特别奇怪、有问题、困难、复杂或混乱的情况或开始一个过程或旅程，尤其是随着它的发展或展开而变得越来越复杂。这个短语来自刘易斯卡罗尔的《爱丽丝梦游仙境》。)
There’s been a few questions on my mind for the past month:
在过去的一个月里，我脑子里一直有几个问题：
What can humans do that machines can’t?
有什么事人类能做而机器做不到的？
What will the future of work look like?
未来的工作会是什么样子？
What jobs – if any – will persist over the next 20 years?
哪些工作--如果有的话--将在未来20年持续存在？
What can we, as humans, do to secure an above-average future?
作为人类，我们能做些什么来确保一个高于平均水平的未来？
With these problems at the forefront of my mind, I’ve found a few answers that may bring you optimism and clarity as you enter the unknown.
这些问题一直在我的脑海中浮现，我找到了一些答案，当你进入未知世界时，这些答案可能会给你带来乐观和清晰。
I want to focus on this point that many are worried about:
我想重点谈谈很多人担心的这一点：
We don’t know what to teach children because we don’t know what will be relevant in 20 years.
我们不知道该教孩子什么，因为我们不知道20年后什么会有意义。
I was worried about this too until I came across a post by Devon Erikson on X that shines light on the issue.
我也很担心这一点，直到我偶然看到德文郡埃里克森在X上的一篇文章，揭示了这个问题。
I’ve been binging any podcast I can find of him and reading his new sci-fi fiction book, Theft Of Fire. He is easily becoming one of my favorite thinkers.
我一直在浏览我能找到的任何关于他的播客，阅读他的新科幻小说《盗火》。他很容易成为我最喜欢的思想家之一。
I hope one day, once I’ve burned through his work, I can hold a high-level conversation with him on a podcast to share the similarities and differences between our worldviews. For now, I am the student.
我希望有一天，当我看完他的作品后，我可以在播客上和他进行一次高层次的对话，分享我们世界观的异同。现在，我是学生。
On to his points: 关于他的观点：
Only slaves are expected to perform one task for their entire life.
只有奴隶才被要求一生只做一件事。
Our current education system reflects the education of slaves.
我们目前的教育制度反映了奴隶的教育。
They were career-specific skills like growing wheat, herding sheep, and riding a horse.
这些技能都是针对特定职业的，比如种小麦、放羊和骑马。
Today, we are taught to be useful workers. We are taught to obey the authority. We are conditioned to get good grades out of fear of punishment.
今天，我们被教导要成为有用的工人。我们被教导要服从权威。我们习惯于因为害怕惩罚而取得好成绩。
A free man is expected to act on his interests and do many things throughout his life.
一个自由的人被期望在他的一生中按照他的兴趣行事并做许多事情。If you don’t create a purpose, you will be assigned one.
如果你不创造一个目标，你将被分配一个。A purpose is a goal. Most people don’t choose their own goals.
目的就是目标。大多数人不会选择自己的目标。A goal implies knowledge and skills that must be learned to solve problems that prevent you from achieving the goal.
目标意味着必须学习的知识和技能，以解决阻碍你实现目标的问题。If you don’t choose your own goal, you do not choose what you learn or what problems you solve. Your destiny is decided for you because the only potential you know is the one you were assigned.
如果你不选择自己的目标，你就无法选择你要学什么或要解决什么问题。你的命运是为你决定的，因为你所知道的唯一潜力就是你被分配的潜力。The difference between the two is how to live, how to think, and how to learn.
两者的区别在于如何生活，如何思考，如何学习。
True education, not a clone-producing machine we call public school, is an orientation toward how to live and thrive without being dependent on another.
真正的教育，不是我们称之为公立学校的克隆生产机器，而是一种如何在不依赖他人的情况下生活和发展的方向。
True education does not only teach career skills that produce results by performing specific tasks, but how to think and learn so they could adapt to any situation.
真正的教育不仅教职业技能，通过执行特定的任务产生的结果，但如何思考和学习，使他们能够适应任何情况。
Stop worrying about what career skills AI will make obsolete.
不要担心AI会淘汰哪些职业技能。
Worry about whether you are training (or being trained) to make ideal-future-aligned decisions, be open-minded and perceptive, and be self-motivated.
担心你是否正在训练（或正在训练）做出理想的未来一致的决定，思想开放，洞察力强，自我激励。
Everyone is creative.
每个人都很有创意。
Creativity is about achieving any goal with the knowledge and skill available to you, not fancy art or designs.
创造力是指用你现有的知识和技能实现任何目标，而不是花哨的艺术或设计。
In other words, you need to learn how to set self-generated goals, utilize the internet, mentors, and the abundance of information you have access to to educate yourself.
换句话说，你需要学习如何设定自我生成的目标，利用互联网，导师，以及你可以获得的丰富信息来教育自己。
Then, you need to embrace trial and error, self-reflect, and experiment to create your own path.
然后，你需要接受尝试和错误，自我反思，并尝试创造自己的道路。
Creativity gives you the power to do whatever you want in life.
创造力给你力量，让你在生活中做任何你想做的事情。
Those who don’t realize this gift are doomed to the assignments of others.
那些没有意识到这一天赋的人注定要被别人分配任务。
The Irreplaceable Individual不可替代的个人
It is impossible to know what the future will hold.
不可能知道未来会怎样。
All we know is that there will be a way of life that leads to the most satisfaction.
我们所知道的是，将有一种生活方式，导致最满意的。
While some aspects of this ideal lifestyle will be unique, like the interests you choose to pursue, the overarching principles of the good life remain immutable, like what allows you to pursue those interests as a sovereign individual.
虽然这种理想生活方式的某些方面是独特的，比如你选择追求的兴趣，但美好生活的总体原则是不变的，比如让你作为一个主权个体追求这些兴趣的东西。
To discover what these are, we must look at what is not taught in schools.
要发现这些是什么，我们必须看看学校没有教什么。
If schools train you to be a modern slave that performs one task in one career for the entirety of your life, what is the knowledge and skill that sovereign individuals are taught – or teach themselves?
如果学校把你训练成一个现代奴隶，在你的一生中只做一件事，那么，有主权的人被教授的知识和技能是什么？
1) The Future-Proof Skill Stack 面向未来的技能组合
In Eriksen’s opinion, the seven liberal arts (or “liberating arts,” not to be confused with the ideological monstrosity found in a specific department of formal education taught by those who are not liberated themselves) are, quote:
在埃里克森看来，七门文科（或“解放艺术”，不要与那些没有解放自己的人在正规教育的特定部门中发现的意识形态怪物混淆）是，引用：
Logic: how to derive truth from known facts
逻辑学：如何从已知事实中得出真理
Statistics: how to understand the implications of data
统计学：如何理解数据的含义
Rhetoric: how to persuade, and spot persuasion tactics
Research: how to gather information on an unknown subject
研究：如何收集未知主题的信息
(Practical) Psychology: how to discern and understand the true motives of others
（实用）心理学：如何辨别和理解他人的真实动机
Investment: how to manage and grow existing assets
投资：如何管理和增长现有资产
Agency: how to make decisions about what course to pursue, and proactively take action to pursue it.
代理：如何决定要追求什么样的课程，并积极采取行动来追求它。
I would encourage you to hold these in your mind while pushing into the unknown.
我鼓励你在进入未知领域的同时，把这些放在脑海中。
If you prepare yourself with a future-proof mind, what technical skills will be lucrative or useful in the far future are irrelevant because you can adapt as necessary.
如果你有一个面向未来的头脑，那么在遥远的未来，什么样的技术技能是有利可图的或有用的是无关紧要的，因为你可以根据需要进行调整。
To learn the liberating arts, these are the skills I learned:
为了学习解放的艺术，这些是我学到的技能：
Marketing & sales – if you don’t know how to attract and persuade, you will never get what you want, and your only option will be for an employer (or the government) to give it to you. (Rhetoric, psychology)
营销和销售-如果你不知道如何吸引和说服，你永远不会得到你想要的，你唯一的选择将是雇主（或政府）给予给你。（修辞学、心理学）Writing & thinking – the ability to communicate the value in your unique mind. The foundation of getting in front of other people. (Logic, research)
写作和思考-在你独特的头脑中传达价值的能力。在别人面前的基础。（逻辑、研究）Entrepreneurship – the process of taking my future into my own hands, hunting for my survival, and building products that I want to see in the world (that others care about). (Statistics, agency, investment)
企业家精神-把我的未来掌握在自己手中，为我的生存而狩猎，并建立我想在世界上看到的产品（其他人关心）的过程。（统计、机构、投资）
Some may say things like entrepreneurship aren’t a “skill,” but I would argue that any mental process that becomes more efficient with time is a skill.
有些人可能会说创业不是一种“技能”，但我认为，任何随着时间的推移而变得更有效率的心理过程都是一种技能。
Everything is a skill, but most people don’t treat their life as a practice.
一切都是一种技能，但大多数人不把他们的生活当作一种实践。
Nobody can tell you how they write, think, market, and sell. They can only tell you how they do it.
没有人能告诉你他们如何写作、思考、营销和销售。他们只能告诉你他们是怎么做的。
Meaning that to learn these skills, you must embrace a self-experimentation mindset.
这意味着要学习这些技能，你必须接受自我实验的心态。
Your job is to:
你的工作是：
Research processes that others have found success with. Thankfully, you can find these with a simple search.
其他人已经取得成功的研究过程。幸运的是，你可以通过一个简单的搜索找到这些。
Experiment with various techniques. Implement the processes you learn and attempt to get results.
尝试各种技术。实施你学到的过程，并尝试获得结果。
Identify patterns and principles. Note the similarities between each and double down on them.
识别模式和原则。注意它们之间的相似之处，并加倍关注它们。
Create your own process. Tailor what you learn to your unique lifestyle and situation.
创建自己的过程。根据你独特的生活方式和情况调整你所学到的东西。
Contribute to true education by passing it down. Give people education that can’t be taught in schools with a fundamental grounding in critical thinking.
通过传承，为真正的教育做出贡献。给予人们在批判性思维基础上的学校无法教授的教育。
With entrepreneurship as your vessel, you set the scene for true education and sovereignty.
以企业家精神为载体，你为真正的教育和主权奠定了基础。
With writing and thinking, you continuously create, test, and iterate on the value you have to offer.
通过写作和思考，你不断地创造，测试和验证你必须提供的价值。
You are required to learn practical psychology – marketing and sales – to understand the minds of yourself and your customers.
你需要学习实用心理学-营销和销售-了解自己和客户的想法。
You then persuade, not force or deceive, to inspire people to care about the value you have to offer.
然后，你说服，而不是强迫或欺骗，激励人们关心你所提供的价值。
2) Technical Know-How 技术知识
With the foundation of a future-proof skill stack, the next step is adapting to the times with technical skills.
有了面向未来的技能堆栈的基础，下一步就是通过技术技能适应时代。
In the digital renaissance, this means:
在数字复兴中，这意味着：
Social media – building a name for yourself as your storefront for the value you create. The command center for your business.
社交媒体-为你自己建立一个名字，作为你创造价值的店面。为您的业务提供指挥中心。
Content – writing or video to educate, entertain, and inspire people to see your value.
内容写作或视频教育，娱乐，并激励人们看到你的价值.
Email marketing – newsletters or sequences to nurture the audience you acquire.
电子邮件营销-通讯或序列培养你获得的观众。
Visual design – illustrating the vibe of your brand to spark emotion in your viewers.
视觉设计-说明你的品牌氛围，激发观众的情感。
Funnel building – creating landing pages, websites, and fueling them with other technical skills like content and email.
漏斗建设-创建着陆页，网站，并与其他技术技能，如内容和电子邮件加油。
The requirements to learn these skills are bound to change as artificial intelligence shakes the industry. They won’t go away any time soon, but the general competition will increase due to the ease in acquiring these skills. Few people will learn the future-proof skills above, those are what will secure your future.
随着人工智能对行业的冲击，学习这些技能的要求必然会发生变化。他们不会很快消失，但由于获得这些技能的容易性，一般竞争将增加。很少有人会学习上面这些面向未来的技能，这些技能将确保你的未来。
These technical skills are the current vessel for your entrepreneurial ventures.
这些技术技能是你创业的当前船只。
3) Personal Interests 个人利益
Now the questions you’re asking are:
现在你问的问题是：
What do I write about?
我该写些什么？
What do I market and sell?
我在营销和销售什么？
What do I email, design, or leverage technical skills with?
我应该用什么来发送电子邮件、设计或利用技术技能？
The interests you can’t help but tell others about.
你忍不住要告诉别人的兴趣。
The books you can’t pull yourself away from.
你无法从书中抽身。
The ideas that flood your search history.
这些想法充斥着你的搜索历史。
The projects you dream of building but can’t seem to find the time to.
你梦想的项目建设，但似乎找不到时间。
You don’t “find” a profitable niche. You create a profitable niche through persuasion.
你没有“找到”有利可图的利基市场。 您通过说服创造了一个有利可图的利基市场。
Nobody can tell you what niche to go into, they can only tell you the one they went into.
没有人能告诉你进入哪个利基市场，他们只能告诉你他们进入的那个。
【利基市场（Niche Market），也称为细分市场或缝隙市场，是指在较大型市场中具有相似兴趣或需求的一小群顾客所占有的市场空间。这些市场通常由一组有着共同需求、兴趣、习惯或喜好的人组成，规模相对较小，但需求非常专业化。利基市场的商业机会通常源于主流市场未能满足特定需求，这可能是一个需要解决的问题或一个未被满足的需求。】
If you understood the future-proof skills, and therefore human nature, you would understand that you can control the perception of your interests.
如果你了解未来的技能，因此人性，你会明白，你可以控制你的利益的看法。
Interest is generated. Interest is programmed. You are interested in specific things because of how you were raised and the information you were exposed to.
兴趣产生了。兴趣是程序化的。你对特定的事情感兴趣，因为你是如何被抚养长大的，以及你接触到的信息。
You are interested in them for a reason. That means others can become interested in them with well-placed writing on social media. This has happened to you before. Go scroll the timeline and tell me something doesn’t persuade you to change your behavior.
你对他们感兴趣是有原因的。这意味着其他人可以通过在社交媒体上的适当位置写作来对他们感兴趣。你以前也经历过这种事。去看看时间轴，告诉我有什么东西不能说服你改变你的行为。
You spend time, attention, and money on your interests. That means others will spend those same resources on you if you are valuable enough.
你花时间、注意力和金钱在你的兴趣上。这意味着如果你足够有价值，其他人也会在你身上花费同样的资源。
Free people don’t choose a niche, they create one.
自由的人不选择一个利基，他们创造一个。
The Digital Renaissance 数字复兴
Most people don't try to become the top 1% in any skill because they don't realize that the 99% is comprised of people who put 0% effort outside of anything they were told to do by their parents or society.
大多数人不会试图成为任何技能的前1%，因为他们没有意识到99%是由那些在父母或社会要求他们做的任何事情之外付出0%努力的人组成的。30-60 minutes a day for 6-12 months puts you ahead of almost everyone.
每天30-60分钟，持续6-12个月，你几乎领先于所有人。Even that is too much to ask of most people.
这对大多数人来说都是太多的要求。
Thanks to the decentralized education system being built in front of our eyes (creators on social media teaching paths they’ve gotten results in) you can quickly learn relevant skills that allow you to adapt to the changing career landscape.
由于分散的教育系统正在我们眼前建立（社交媒体教学路径上的创造者，他们已经取得了成果），您可以快速学习相关技能，使您能够适应不断变化的职业环境。
In my eyes, it is silly to bank your future on education from those who are employed to be teachers.
在我看来，把你的未来寄托在那些受雇为教师的人的教育上是愚蠢的。
I am not talking about general education. That is useful for getting people on the same page. I am talking about further education, when you are at the pivotal moment where you must choose what interest you want to pursue.
我说的不是普通教育。这对让人们在同一页面上很有用。我说的是继续教育，当你处于关键时刻，你必须选择你想追求的兴趣。
If the goal is to be in control of your future, it is wise to avoid education by those teaching how to be free but aren’t free themselves.
如果目标是控制你的未来，明智的做法是避免那些教你如何自由但自己并不自由的人的教育。
STEM education makes sense because it teaches hard skills, but an education in the liberal arts required to be free is learned better by those who have done what you are interested in doing.
STEM教育【STEM是科学（Science），技术（Technology），工程（Engineering），数学（Mathematics）】是有意义的，因为它教授硬技能，但自由的文科教育被那些做过你感兴趣的事情的人学得更好。
Posts, podcasts, videos, courses, and coaching.
帖子、播客、视频、课程和辅导。
Use them to study every skill or interest we’ve discussed in this letter.
用它们来学习我们讨论过的每一项技能或兴趣。
Nobody is going to give you the time. You must take it. Set aside 30-60 minutes in a non-distracting block of your day and build the habit. It will be difficult at the start as with anything new. Don’t expect otherwise.
没有人会给你给予时间。你必须接受它。在你一天中留出30-60分钟不分心的时间，养成这个习惯。这将是困难的开始与任何新的。别指望会有别的结果。
The Domain Of Mastery 第一千一百零六章掌控领域
Mastery is a blend of creative and specific work.
掌握是创造性和具体工作的结合。
Mastery cannot be trained, it must be practiced.
掌握不能训练，必须实践。
You don’t succeed by being smarter.
你不会因为更聪明而成功。
You don’t succeed by working harder.
你不可能通过更加努力的工作而成功。
You succeed when you possess specific domain-relevant knowledge with a creative vessel for distribution.
当你拥有特定领域的相关知识，并拥有一个创造性的传播渠道时，你就成功了。
I can be smart, with an IQ of 175, but if a bug occurs in a complex code base, how will being smart help me fix that? I need to know a bunch of very specific things about the code base.
我可以很聪明，智商是175，但是如果一个bug出现在一个复杂的代码库中，聪明怎么能帮助我修复它呢？我需要知道一些关于代码库的非常具体的事情。
Now, I can have specific knowledge of that domain, but if I am not one influencing the vision of that code base, I am not free, and I can be replaced.
现在，我可以拥有该领域的特定知识，但如果我不是一个影响代码库发展的人，我就不自由，我可以被取代。
It is difficult to replace someone who is highly equipped with specific knowledge, but it can still happen. And if that individual is replaced, do they have the creativity to make that knowledge work for them?
很难取代一个高度具备特定知识的人，但它仍然可能发生。如果那个人被取代了，他们是否有创造力让这些知识为他们工作？
Your domain of mastery contains the skills and interests listed above.
你所掌握的领域包括上面列出的技能和兴趣。
Entrepreneurship is your vessel – so you are in full control of your future.
创业是你的船-所以你完全控制你的未来。
Marketing and sales are your message – so you can inspire people to care about what you do.
营销和销售是你的信息-所以你可以激励人们关心你做什么。
Writing and thinking are your medium – so you can distribute your message in public.
写作和思考是你的媒介--这样你就可以在公共场合传播你的信息。
Technical know-how is the “how” – so you can succeed in the current market landscape.
技术诀窍就是“如何”--这样您就可以在当前的市场环境中取得成功。
Personal interests are the “what” – so you have a craft to pour your heart and soul into.
个人兴趣是“什么”-所以你有一个工艺倾注你的心和灵魂。
Your ideal future is the “why” – so you solve a problem that you have experience with.
你理想的未来是“为什么”-所以你解决了一个问题，你有经验。
An ideal future is born from adversity.
理想的未来是在逆境中诞生的。
If you listen to the stories of the most successful entrepreneurs (excluding cases of unconscious competence), you will discover a common theme.
如果你倾听最成功的企业家的故事（不包括无意识能力的案例），你会发现一个共同的主题。
They built a product for one of three reasons:
他们开发产品的原因有三个：
To make something that helped them better.
去做些能让他们更好的东西。
To solve a problem in their life.
去解决他们生活中的问题。
To build what they wanted to see in the world.
去建造他们想要的世界。
Or, even better, a combination of them all.
或者，更好的是，他们所有人的组合。
One suffered from eczema, experimented with all of the products they could on the market, and couldn’t find one that suited them.
其中一个患有湿疹，尝试了市场上所有的产品，却找不到适合自己的。
The best they could find was a boring, scentless bar of soap.
他们能找到的最好的是一块无聊的，没有气味的肥皂。
So, they obsessed over botanicals and horticulture. Studied it like their life depended on it – because it did – and created a soap line that smelled good, looked good, and didn’t irritate their skin.
因此，他们痴迷于植物和园艺。 研究它就像他们的生命依赖于它一样——因为它确实如此——并创造了一个闻起来很好、看起来很好、而且不会刺激他们的皮肤的肥皂系列。
I, as another example, had trouble with consistent writing quality to fuel my business. Nobody seemed to understand that there was more to writing than just writing.
我是另一个例子，在维持稳定的写作质量来推动我的业务方面遇到了困难。 似乎没有人明白写作不仅仅是写作。
Since it was the foundation of my business success, and with having a plethora of specific knowledge in that domain, I experimented with other’s processes until I was able to create one that suited my unique goals.
因为它是我的业务成功的基础，并在该领域有过多的具体知识，我尝试了别人的过程，直到我能够创建一个适合我的独特目标。
That is how 2 Hour Writer was born. My hyper-successful course.
两个小时的写作就这样诞生了。我超级成功的课程。
It may not work for some, but for others, it is the course that changed everything and shaped a huge portion of the creator space as we know it – including many spinoff products with other processes you can try.
它可能对某些人不起作用，但对其他人来说，这是改变一切并塑造我们所知的创作者空间的巨大部分的过程-包括许多附带产品，您可以尝试其他过程。
Notice the Value Equation from last week coming into play. It starts with a problem, reveals a goal, and sets a potential process to be created.
注意上周的价值等式开始发挥作用。它从一个问题开始，揭示一个目标，并设置一个潜在的过程来创建。
To wrap this up, technology only continues to advance.
为了总结这一点，技术只会继续进步。
Being scared of it is a great way to ruin your future.
害怕它是一个很好的方式来破坏你的未来。
The wise decision is to use it. Dissect it. Understand it.
明智的决定是使用它。剖析它。理解它。
Allow it to help you acquire skills faster and build your future in record time.
让它帮助你更快地获得技能，并在创纪录的时间内建立你的未来。
from Dan Koe
